Here's one to stir up a political debate & one for the conspiracy theories. Place your bets that US(& more than likely UK) takes military action against Iran before November 2012 ensuring that Obama gets second term as a war president. Before you say cant afford it I bet Saudi Arabia pays for all military hardware used.
Here's the scenario:-
Iran doesn't like west but dislikes sunni muslims even more i.e. Saudia Arabia and Iraq.
Iran is developing nuclear programme supposedly for peaceful purposes but more likely to get material for nuclear missiles not a pretty thought for anybody. If the west does nothing they will have the capability to produce nuclear material by 2012/2013.
Iran has lots of oil reserves.
Political interests would like a situation were they can take out Iran regime whilst looking like the good guys. In other word Iran takes some action against Saudi Arabia which creates the scenario for military action. Already bubbling away see below:-
http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/3e11…?ftcamp=rss#axzz1abJxgfF0
Even the unloved Hillary is sounding very hawkish.
http://www.washingtonpost.com/…/12/gIQABVikfL_video.html
Now, Saudi Arabia has a military defence alliance with US. If they are attacked US is obliged to supply assistance. A short overwhelming military campaign should be enough to topple Iran regime. Saudi Arabia would bankroll the war campaign same as happened in Kuwait.
Military contractors would generate millions if not billions from material used with work to resupply weaponry used plus all the civil reconstruction work to damage caused to rebuild Iran.
In gratitude of disposing of Iran regime Saudis would assist in refinancing banking system
to save it from going bust and pull the plug on their little terrorist friends. Iran would be opened for oil development big time.
Political benefits would be a mini boom to stave of recession, political security by neutralising bankers of terrorists and the kudos of a successful war president for Obama in 2012 virtually guaranteeing him a second term in the face of a weak republican candidate.
Cameron & conservatives in UK may also benefit by forcing a snap election on some pretext of falling out with Liberal Democrats and hoping for a fillip get an overall majority.
Call me an cynic but when politicians are up to their necks in the brown stuff they like to have a war to take peoples minds off things.
Here's another few scenarios that point in same direction
Liam Fox UK Defence Secretary who if Cameron fell under a bus would be a strong candidate to replace him is up to his eyes in scandal. He is unlikely to stay in post and will be conveniently removed before any war camapign.
http://www.guardian.co.uk/poli…wing-agenda?newsfeed=true
BlackBerry phones are suddenly blacked out in Europe & Middle East for two days. Loved by spies and terrorists throughout the world as they cant be traced. It seems very odd that nobody knows how this fault is occurring. If it cant be explained try CIA.
Well you heard it here first place your bets.